Evaluation of a delayed liver transplantation strategy for patients with HCC receiving bridging therapy: the DELTA-HCC study.

INTRODUCTION: To maximize utility and prevent premature liver transplantation (LT), a delayed LT strategy (DS) was adopted in France in 2015 in patients listed for any single HCC treated with resection or thermal-ablation during waiting phase, postponing LT until recurrence. The purpose of this study was to evaluate DS to make sure that it did not hamper pre and post-LT outcomes in DS patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients listed for HCC in France between 2015 and 2018 were studied. After data extraction from the national LT database, 2,025 patients were identified and classified according to 6 groups: single tumor entering DS, single tumor not entering DS, multiple tumors, no curative treatment, untreatable HCC or T1 tumors. 18-months Kaplan-Meier estimates of drop-out for death, too sick to be transplanted or tumor progression before LT, 5-year post-LT HCC recurrence and post LT-survival rates were compared. RESULTS: Median waiting-time in DS group was 910 days. Pre-LT drop-out probability was significantly lower in DS compare to other groups (13% vs 19%, p=0.0043) and significantly higher in the T1 group (25.4%, p=0.05). Post-LT HCC-recurrence rate in multiples nodules group was significantly higher (19.6%, p= 0.019) and post-LT 5-year survival did not differ among groups with 74% in DS group (p=0.22). CONCLUSION: The DELTA HCC study shows that DS does not negatively impact neither pre- nor post-LT patients 'outcomes, and has the potential to redistribute organs to patients in more urgent need of LT. It can reasonably be proposed and pursued. The unexpected high risk of drop out in T1 patients seems related to the MELD-based driving rules underserving this subgroup, calling for revision of allocation rules. IMPACTS AND IMPLICATIONS: To maximize utility and prevent premature liver transplantation (LT), a delayed LT strategy (DS) was adopted in France in 2015. It consists in postponing LT until recurrence in patients listed for any single HCC curatively treated by surgical resection or thermal ablation. The DELTA HCC study was conducted to evaluate this nationwide strategy. It shows in a non-US, European LT program that DS:- does not negatively impact pre- nor post-LT patients 'outcome,- concerns up to 20% of LT candidates-has therefore the potential to redistribute organs to patients in more urgent need of LT. Such a delayed strategy can reasonably be pursued and extended to other LT programs. Of note, an unexpected high risk of drop out in T1 patients, seemingly related to MELD-based offering rules which underserve these patients, calls for further scrutinization and revision of allocation rules in this subgroup.

Recipient age influences survival after liver transplant: Results of the French national cohort 2007-2017.

BACKGROUND: In recent years, age at liver transplantation (LT) has markedly increased. In the context of organ shortage, we investigated the impact of recipient age on post-transplantation mortality. METHODS: All adult patients who received a first LT between 2007 and 2017 were included in this cross-sectional study. Recipients' characteristics at the time of listing, donor and surgery data, post-operative complications and follow-up of vital status were retrieved from the national transplantation database. The impact of age on 5-year overall mortality post-LT was estimated using a flexible multivariable parametric model which was also used to estimate the association between age and 10-year net survival, accounting for expected age- and sex-related mortality. RESULTS: Among the 7610 patients, 21.4% were aged 60-65 years, and 15.7% over 65. With increasing age, comorbidities increased but severity of liver disease decreased. Older recipient age was associated with decreased observed survival at 5 years after LT (p < .001), with a significant effect particularly during the first 2 years. The linear increase in the risk of death associated with age does not allow any definition of an age's threshold for LT (p = .832). Other covariates associated with an increased risk of 5-year death were dialysis and mechanical ventilation at transplant, transfusion during LT, hepatocellular carcinoma and donor age. Ten-year flexible net survival analysis confirmed these results. CONCLUSION: Although there was a selection process for older recipients, increasing age at LT was associated with an increased risk of death, particularly in the first years after LT.

Autoimmune hepatitis recurrence after liver transplantation: "Les jeux sont faits".

Autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) may recur after liver transplantation (LT). The aims of this study were to evaluate the incidence and risk factors for recurrent autoimmune hepatitis (rAIH). A multicenter retrospective French nationwide study, including all patients aged ≥16 transplanted for AIH, with at least 1 liver biopsy 1 year after LT, was conducted between 1985 and 2018. Risk factors for rAIH were identified using a multivariate Cox regression model. Three hundred and forty-four patients were included (78.8% women) with a median age at LT of 43.6 years. Seventy-six patients (22.1%) developed recurrence in a median time of 53.6 months (IQR, 14.1-93.2). Actuarial risk for developing rAIH was 41.3% 20 years after LT. In multivariate analysis, the strongest risk factor for rAIH was cytomegalovirus D+/R- mismatch status (HR=2.0; 95% CI: 1.1-3.6; p =0.03), followed by associated autoimmune condition. Twenty-one patients (27.6% of rAIH patients) developed liver graft cirrhosis after rAIH. Independent risk factors for these severe forms of rAIH were young age at LT, IgG levels >20.7 g/L, and LT in the context of (sub)fulminant hepatitis. Immunosuppression, especially long-term maintenance of corticosteroid therapy, was not significantly associated with rAIH. Recurrence of AIH after LT is frequent and may lead to graft loss. Recurrence is more frequent in young patients with active disease at the time of LT, yet systematic corticosteroid therapy does not prevent it.

Conventional cytotoxic chemotherapy for gastrointestinal cancer in patients with cirrhosis: A multicentre case-control study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Progresses in management make a higher proportion of cirrhotic patients with gastrointestinal (GI) cancer candidates to chemotherapy. Data are needed on the safety and liver-related events associated with the use of chemotherapy in these patients. METHODS: Forty-nine patients with cirrhosis receiving chemotherapy against GI cancer from 2013 to 2018 were identified in the French Health Insurance Database using ICD-10 codes K70-K74, and matched 1:2 to non-cirrhotic controls (n = 98) on age, tumour type and type of treatment. Adverse events (AE), dose tapering, discontinuation rate, liver-related events and survival rate were compared. RESULTS: Patients with cirrhosis (Child-Pugh A 91%) more often received lower doses (38.8% vs 7.1%, p < .001), without significant differences in terms of grade 3/4 AE or dose tapering rates (29.6% vs. 36.7%; 22.3% vs 24.4%, respectively). Treatment discontinuation rate was higher in patients with cirrhosis (23.3% vs. 11.3%, p = .005). Child-Pugh (p = .007) and MELD (p = .025) scores increased under chemotherapy. Five patients with cirrhosis (10.2%) had liver decompensation within 12 months, and 17.2% of deaths in the cirrhosis group were liver-related versus 0% in matched controls. WHO-PS stage > 1 (HR 3.74, CI95%: 2.13-6.57, p < .001), TNM-stage M1 (HR 3.61, CI 95%: 1.82-7.16, p < .001), non-colorectal cancer (HR 1.73, CI 95%: 1.05-2.86, p = .032) and bilirubin higher than 5 mg/dL (HR 2.26, CI 95%: 1.39-3.70, p < .001) were independent prognostic factors of 2-year mortality, whereas cirrhosis was not. CONCLUSIONS: Chemotherapy should be proposed only in patients with compensated cirrhosis with close monitoring of liver function. Dose management remains challenging. Multidisciplinary management is warranted to improve these patients' outcomes.

Liver disease in germline mutations of telomere-related genes: Prevalence, clinical, radiological, pathological features, outcome, and risk factors.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Germline mutations of telomere-related genes (TRG) induce multiorgan dysfunction, and liver-specific manifestations have not been clearly outlined. We aimed to describe TRG mutations-associated liver diseases. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Retrospective multicenter analysis of liver disease (transaminases > 30 IU/L and/or abnormal liver imaging) in patients with TRG mutations. Main measurements were characteristics, outcomes, and risk factors of liver disease in a TRG mutations cohort. The prevalence of liver disease was compared to a community-based control group (n = 1190) stratified for age and matched 1:3 for known risk factors of liver disease. Among 132 patients with TRG mutations, 95 (72%) had liver disease, with associated lung, blood, skin, rheumatological, and ophthalmological TRG diseases in 82%, 77%, 55%, 39%, and 30% of cases, respectively. Liver biopsy was performed in 52/95 patients, identifying porto-sinusoidal vascular disease in 48% and advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis in 15%. After a follow-up of 21 months (12-54), ascites, hepato-pulmonary syndrome, variceal bleeding, and HCC occurred in 14%, 13%, 13%, and 2% of cases, respectively. Five-year liver transplantation-free survival was 69%. A FIB-4 score ≥ 3·25 and ≥1 risk factor for cirrhosis were associated with poor liver transplantation-free survival. Liver disease was more frequent in patients with TRG mutations than in the paired control group [80/396, (20%)], OR 12.9 (CI 95%: 7.8-21.3, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: TRG mutations significantly increase the risk of developing liver disease. Although symptoms may be mild, they may be associated with severe disease. Porto-sinusoidal vascular disease and cirrhosis were the most frequent lesions, suggesting that the mechanism of action is multifactorial.

Tacrolimus Exposure Before and After a Switch From Twice-Daily Immediate-Release to Once-Daily Prolonged Release Tacrolimus: The ENVARSWITCH Study.

LCP-tacrolimus displays enhanced oral bioavailability compared to immediate-release (IR-) tacrolimus. The ENVARSWITCH study aimed to compare tacrolimus AUC0-24 h in stable kidney (KTR) and liver transplant recipients (LTR) on IR-tacrolimus converted to LCP-tacrolimus, in order to re-evaluate the 1:0.7 dose ratio recommended in the context of a switch and the efficiency of the subsequent dose adjustment. Tacrolimus AUC0-24 h was obtained by Bayesian estimation based on three concentrations measured in dried blood spots before (V2), after the switch (V3), and after LCP-tacrolimus dose adjustment intended to reach the pre-switch AUC0-24 h (V4). AUC0-24 h estimates and distributions were compared using the bioequivalence rule for narrow therapeutic range drugs (Westlake 90% CI within 0.90-1.11). Fifty-three KTR and 48 LTR completed the study with no major deviation. AUC0-24 h bioequivalence was met in the entire population and in KTR between V2 and V4 and between V2 and V3. In LTR, the Westlake 90% CI was close to the acceptance limits between V2 and V4 (90% CI = [0.96-1.14]) and between V2 and V3 (90% CI = [0.96-1.15]). The 1:0.7 dose ratio is convenient for KTR but may be adjusted individually for LTR. The combination of DBS and Bayesian estimation for tacrolimus dose adjustment may help with reaching appropriate exposure to tacrolimus rapidly after a switch.

Treatment of donor-specific anti-HLA antibodies-mediated rejection after liver transplantation: A French nationwide retrospective study.

The deleterious effect of donor-specific anti-HLA antibodies (DSA) after liver transplantation (LT) has been increasingly recognized during the past decade. Antibody-mediated rejection (AMR) represents a rare but severe complication in the presence of DSA. However, little is known concerning the treatment of AMR after LT. The nationwide French study aimed to describe LT recipients who received specific treatment of AMR. We performed a multicenter retrospective study on 44 patients who were treated with B-cell targeting agents from January 2008 to December 2020. Median patient age at the time of AMR treatment was 51.6 years (range: 17.9-68.0). AMR was classified as acute (n = 19) or chronic (n = 25). The diagnosis of AMR was made after a median time of 16.8 months (range: 0.4-274.2) after LT. The main therapeutic combination was plasma exchange/rituximab/IVIG (n = 25, 56.8%). The median follow-up after the treatment of AMR was 32 months (range: 1-115). After the treatment, 1-, 5- and 10-year patient and graft survivals were 77%, 55.9%, and 55.9%, and 69.5%, 47.0%, and 47.0%, respectively. Initial total bilirubin (Q1-Q3 vs. Q4) was significantly associated with patient survival (log-rank test, p = 0.005) and graft survival (log-rank test, p = 0.002). After a median follow-up of 21 months (range: 12-107), DSA became undetectable in 15/38 patients (39.5%) with available DSA monitoring. In conclusion, specific treatment of AMR in LT recipients has slowly emerged in France during the past decade and has probably been considered in the most severe patients; this explains the global poor outcome, even if the outcome was favorable in some cases.

Impact of direct antiviral agents for hepatitis C virus -induced liver diseases on registration, waiting list and liver transplant activity in France.

Direct-acting antivirals (DAA) has dramatically improved the prognosis of liver transplantation (LT) candidates for HCV end-stage liver disease (ESLD). We aimed to evaluate the impact of DAA on waiting list (WL) registration and LT activity in France. We evaluated all patients registered to the French WL for HCV ESLD between 2000 and 2018. Timespan was divided into two periods according to DAA availability: 2010-2013 versus 2014-2018. Changes in the indications of LT, outcome on WL were evaluated. Then, we evaluated the activity of LT and outcome for HCV recipients in France. Among 3,173 HCV candidates, registration on WL decreased by 33% between 2013 and 2018. The 1-year waitlist survival increased from 76.9% (95%CI: 74.2%-79.4%) in 2010-2013 to 79.8% (95%CI: 77.2%-82.1%) in 2014-2018 (p < 0.01). Regarding LT activity, the part of HCV ESLD decreased from 26% in 2010 to 16% in 2018. The 1-year graft survival rate in HCV recipients increased from 76.9% (95%CI: 73.7%-79.7%) in 2010-2012 to 84.9% (95%CI: 82.9%-86.7%) in 2013-2018 (p < 0.01). The availability of DAA to treat HCV infection is associated with a significant decrease of registration for LT, death and drop out for worsening condition on the LT. In addition, it has decreased the number of HCV+ LT and improved the 1-year graft survival in France.

Bariatric surgery and liver transplantation, here we are now: A French nationwide retrospective study.

At the time of the growing obesity epidemic worldwide, liver transplantation (LT) and metabolic syndrome are closely linked: non-alcohol-related fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is one of the leading indications for liver transplantation, and metabolic syndrome can also appear after liver transplantation, in relation to immunosuppressive medications and weight gain, whatever was the initial liver disease leading to the indication of LT. Therefore, the role of bariatric surgery (BS) is important due to its longer-lasting effect and efficacy. We performed a retrospective review of all 50 adult French liver transplant recipients who had a history of bariatric surgery, including 37 procedures before transplantation, and 14 after. There were three significantly different characteristics when comparing pre-and post-LT BS: patients were older (at the time of BS), presented more frequently arterial hypertension (at the time of LT), and the proportion of NAFLD as initial liver disease leading to LT was lower, in the post-LT group. Regarding pre-LT BS, in one case BS was complicated by liver failure leading to the rapid indication of LT; it was the single patient for whom the delay between BS and LT was less than 1 year; there was no patient who specifically underwent BS for the purpose of LT listing.

Inevitability of disease recurrence after liver transplantation for NAFLD cirrhosis.

Background & Aims: Liver transplantation (LT) is the only available treatment for end-stage non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) (related decompensated cirrhosis and/or hepatocellular carcinoma). The aim of our study was to evaluate the risk of disease recurrence after LT and the factors influencing it. Method: This retrospective multicenter study included adults transplanted for NAFLD cirrhosis between 2000 and 2019 in 20 participating French-speaking centers. Disease recurrence (steatosis, steatohepatitis and fibrosis) was diagnosed from liver graft biopsies. Results: We analyzed 150 patients with at least one graft liver biopsy available ≥6 months after transplantation, among 361 patients transplanted for NAFLD. The median (IQR) age at LT was 61.3 (54.4-64.6) years. The median follow-up after LT was 4.7 (2.8-8.1) years. The cumulative recurrence rates of steatosis and steatohepatitis at 5 years were 80.0% and 60.3%, respectively. Significant risk factors for steatohepatitis recurrence in multivariate analysis were recipient age at LT <65 years (odds ratio [OR] 4.214; p = 0.044), high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol <1.15 mmol/L after LT (OR 3.463; p = 0.013) and grade ≥2 steatosis on the graft at 1 year after LT (OR 10.196; p = 0.001). The cumulative incidence of advanced fibrosis (F3-F4) was 20.0% at 5 years after LT and significant risk factors from multivariate analysis were metabolic syndrome before LT (OR 8.550; p = 0.038), long-term use of cyclosporine (OR 11.388; p = 0.031) and grade ≥2 steatosis at 1 year after LT (OR 10.720; p = 0.049). No re-LT was performed for NAFLD cirrhosis recurrence. Conclusion: Our results strongly suggest that recurrence of initial disease after LT for NAFLD is inevitable and progressive in a large proportion of patients; the means to prevent it remain to be further evaluated. Impact and implications: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a growing indication for liver transplantation, but the analysis of disease recurrence, based on graft liver biopsies, has been poorly studied. Cumulative incidences of steatosis, steatohepatitis and NAFLD-related significant fibrosis recurrence at 5 years were 85.0%, 60.3% and 48.0%, respectively. Grade ≥2 steatosis on graft biopsy at 1 year (present in 25% of patients) is highly predictive of recurrence of steatohepatitis and advanced fibrosis: bariatric surgery should be discussed in these patients specifically.

Long-term outcome of liver transplantation for autoimmune hepatitis: A French nationwide study over 30 years.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) is a rare indication for liver transplantation (LT). The aims of this study were to evaluate long-term survival after LT for AIH and prognostic factors, especially the impact of recurrent AIH (rAIH). METHODS: A multicentre retrospective nationwide study including all patients aged ≥16 transplanted for AIH in France was conducted. Early deaths and retransplantations (≤6 months) were excluded. RESULTS: The study population consisted of 301 patients transplanted from 1987 to 2018. Median age at LT was 43 years (IQR, 29.4-53.8). Median follow-up was 87.0 months (IQR, 43.5-168.0). Seventy-four patients (24.6%) developed rAIH. Graft survival was 91%, 79%, 65% at 1, 10 and 20 years respectively. Patient survival was 94%, 84% and 74% at 1, 10 and 20 years respectively. From multivariate Cox regression, factors significantly associated with poorer patient survival were patient age ≥58 years (HR = 2.9; 95% CI, 1.4-6.2; p = 0.005) and occurrence of an infectious episode within the first year after LT (HR = 2.5; 95% CI, 1.2-5.1; p = 0.018). Risk factors for impaired graft survival were: occurrence of rAIH (HR = 2.7; 95% CI, 1.5-5.0; p = 0.001), chronic rejection (HR = 2.9; 95% CI, 1.4-6.1; p = 0.005), biliary (HR = 2.0; 95% CI, 1.2-3.4; p = 0.009), vascular (HR = 1.8; 95% CI, 1.0-3.1; p = 0.044) and early septic (HR = 2.1; 95% CI, 1.2-3.5; p = 0.006) complications. CONCLUSION: Our results confirm that survival after LT for AIH is excellent. Disease recurrence and chronic rejection reduce graft survival. The occurrence of an infectious complication during the first year post-LT identifies at-risk patients for graft loss and death.

Liver Transplantation in Alcohol-related Liver Disease and Alcohol-related Hepatitis.

Alcohol-related liver disease (ARLD) remains one of the leading causes of chronic liver disease and the prevalence of alcohol-related cirrhosis is still increasing worldwide. Thus, ARLD is one of the leading indications for liver transplantation (LT) worldwide especially after the arrival of direct-acting antivirals for chronic hepatitis C infection. Despite the risk of alcohol relapse, the outcomes of LT for ARLD are as good as for other indications such as hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), with 1-, 5-, and 10- year survival rates of 85%, 74%, and 59%, respectively. Despite these good results, certain questions concerning LT for ARLD remain unanswered, in particular because of persistent organ shortages. As a result, too many transplantation centers continue to require 6 months of abstinence from alcohol for patients with ARLD before LT to reduce the risk of alcohol relapse even though compelling data show the poor prognostic value of this criterion. A recent pilot study even observed a lower alcohol relapse rate in patients receiving LT after less than 6 months of abstinence as long as addictological follow-up is reinforced. Thus, the question should not be whether LT should be offered to patients with ARLD but how to select patients who will benefit from this treatment.

Liver transplantation for autoimmune hepatitis: Pre-transplant does not predict the early post-transplant outcome.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) is a rare indication (<5%) for liver transplantation (LT). The aim of this study was to describe the early outcome after LT for AIH. METHODS: A multicenter retrospective nationwide study including all patients aged ≥16 transplanted for AIH in France was conducted. Occurrences of biliary and vascular complications, rejection, sepsis, retransplantation and death were collected during the first year after LT. RESULTS: A total of 344 patients (78.8% of women, 17.0% of (sub)fulminant hepatitis and 19.2% of chronic liver diseases transplanted in the context of acute-on-chronic liver failure [ACLF]) were included, with a median age at LT of 43.6 years. Acute rejection, sepsis, biliary and vascular complications occurred in respectively 23.5%, 44.2%, 25.3% and 17.4% of patients during the first year after LT. One-year graft and patient survivals were 84.3% and 88.0% respectively. The main cause of early death was sepsis. Pre-LT immunosuppression was not associated with an increased risk for early infections or surgical complications. Significant risk factors for septic events were LT in the context of (sub)fulminant hepatitis or ACLF, acute kidney injury at the time of LT (AKI) and occurrence of biliary complications after LT. AKI was the only independent factor associated with graft (HR = 2.5; 95% CI: 1.1-5.4; p = .02) and patient survivals (HR = 2.6; 95% CI: 1.0-6.5; p = .04). CONCLUSION: Early prognosis is good after LT for AIH and is not impacted by pre-LT immunosuppression but by the presence of AKI at the time of LT.

Neo-Adjuvant Use of Sorafenib for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Awaiting Liver Transplantation.

Data on efficacy and safety of sorafenib in a neoadjuvant setting for HCC awaiting liver transplantation (LT) are heterogeneous and scarce. We aimed to investigate the trajectory of patients treated with sorafenib while awaiting LT. All patients listed for HCC and treated with sorafenib were included in a monocentric observational study. A clinical and biological evaluation was performed every month. Radiological tumor response evaluation was realized every 3 months on the waiting list and every 6 months after LT. Among 327 patients listed for HCC, 62 (19%) were treated with Sorafenib. Sorafenib was initiated for HCC progression after loco-regional therapy (LRT) in 50% of cases and for impossibility of LRT in 50% of cases. The mean duration of treatment was 6 months. Thirty six patients (58%) dropped-out for tumor progression and 26 (42%) patients were transplanted. The 5-year overall and recurrent-free survival after LT was 77% and 48% respectively. Patients treated for impossibility of LRT had acceptable 5-year intention-to-treat overall and post-LT survivals. Conversely, patients treated for HCC progression presented high dropout rate and low intention-to-treat survival. Our results suggest that it is very questionable in terms of utility that patients treated for HCC progression should even be kept listed once the tumor progression has been observed.

Five-year outcomes in liver transplant patients receiving everolimus with or without a calcineurin inhibitor: Results from the CERTITUDE study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: To report 5-year outcomes of the CERTITUDE study. METHODS: An observational study in patients with liver transplantation (LTx) compared the long-term impact of immunosuppression (with/without a calcineurin inhibitor) on renal function, cancers, major cardiovascular events (MACEs) and other safety parameters. All patients completing the 6-month SIMCER study were recruited and analysed according to treatment received at randomization and actual treatment received during the follow-up. RESULTS: Of the 143 enrolled patients, 119 completed the 5-year follow-up (everolimus [EVR], n = 55; tacrolimus [TAC], n = 64). The mean absolute change in estimated glomerular filtration rate was not statistically different between both groups (TAC, -15.53 ml/min/1.73 m2 and EVR, -14.56 ml/min/1.73 m2 ). In the treatment subgroups based on actual treatment received, renal function was preserved better in the EVR subgroup compared with other subgroups (p = .051). Treated biopsy-proven acute rejection was higher in the EVR group (15.4% vs. 6.4%); however, the majority of events were mild in severity. MACE occurred in 9.2% vs. 14.1% of patients in the EVR and TAC groups respectively (p = .370). De novo cancer was reported in 14 and 5 patients in EVR and TAC groups respectively. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence was observed in the TAC group alone (n = 4). Adverse events and treatment discontinuation owing to an adverse event were higher in the EVR group. CONCLUSIONS: The CERTITUDE study demonstrated that EVR- and TAC-based regimens have comparable efficacy, safety and tolerability up to 5 years post-LTx.

Liver transplantation for NAFLD cirrhosis: Age and recent coronary angioplasty are major determinants of survival.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Liver transplantation (LT) is the treatment of end-stage non-alcoholic liver disease (NAFLD), that is decompensated cirrhosis and/or complicated by hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Few data on long-term outcome are available. The aim of this study was to evaluate overall patient and graft survivals and associated predictive factors. METHOD: This retrospective multicentre study included adult transplant patients for NAFLD cirrhosis between 2000 and 2019 in participating French-speaking centres. RESULTS: A total of 361 patients (69.8% of male) were included in 20 centres. The median age at LT was 62.3 years [57.4-65.9] and the median MELD score was 13.9 [9.1-21.3]; 51.8% of patients had HCC on liver explant. Between 2004 and 2018, the number of LT for NAFLD cirrhosis increased by 720%. A quarter of the patients had cardiovascular history before LT. Median follow-up after LT was 39.1 months [15.8-72.3]. Patient survival at 1, 5 and 10 years after LT was 89.3%, 79.8% and 68.1% respectively. The main causes of death were sepsis (37.5%), malignancies (29.2%) and cardiovascular events (22.2%). In multivariate analysis, three risk factors for overall mortality after LT were recipient pre-LT BMI < 32 kg/m2 at LT time (OR: 2.272; p = .012), pre-LT angioplasty during CV check-up (OR: 2.916; p = .016), a combined donor and recipient age over 135 years (OR: 2.020; 95%CI: p = .035). CONCLUSION: Survival after LT for NAFLD cirrhosis is good at 5 years. Donor and recipient age, and cardiovascular history, are major prognostic factors to consider.

Non-transplantable recurrence after percutaneous thermal ablation of ≤3-cm HCC: Predictors and implications for treatment allocation.

Percutaneous thermal ablation (PTA), resection, and liver transplantation are the standard curative options for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Liver transplantation yields the best long-term outcomes but is limited by graft shortage. Thus, patients with ≤3-cm HCC are primarily treated by PTA even though recurrence is frequent and may occur outside transplant criteria. Data on non-transplantable recurrence (NTR) following PTA are lacking, however. We therefore investigated the incidence and predictors of NTR among 213 potentially transplantable patients (cirrhosis, 93%; Child-Pugh A, 98.6%; alcohol-related disease, 62%) with ≤3-cm HCC(s) treated by PTA, to stratify them according to their NTR risk and to improve treatment allocation. During follow-up (median: 41.2 months), NTR occurred in 18.3% (alpha-fetoprotein [AFP] model) and 23% (Milan) patients. NTR prediction with competing-risk analysis and internal validation revealed AFP > 100 ng/ml (subdistribution hazard ratio: 7.28; p < 0.001) and prior HCC (subdistribution hazard ratio: 3.77; p = 0.002) as independent predictors (Harrell's C: 0.76). Based on this model using the AFP score (equally predictive within Milan criteria), patients were stratified into three NTR risk categories: HCC-naïve with AFP < 100 ng/ml (low risk, n = 108 of 213), non-HCC naïve with AFP < 100 ng/ml (intermediate risk, n = 92 of 213), AFP ≥ 100 ng/ml (high risk, n = 13 of 213), among whom 9.3% (3.7% [Milan]), 22.8% (25% [Milan]), and 61.5% (38/5% [Milan]) presented NTR (p < 0.001). Median recurrence-free survival was 4.6, 14.5, and 43.4 months, respectively, in high-risk, intermediate-risk, and low-risk categories (p < 0.001). Median overall survival, which was 19.1 months in high-risk patients, was not reached otherwise (p < 0.001). Conclusion: Overall, PTA of ≤3-cm HCC incurs a low NTR risk. Simple and noninvasive predictors (HCC naivety, AFP) accurately stratified patients' risk of NTR, and should help to improve treatment allocation. Patients with AFP ≥ 100 ng/ml have a high risk of NTR, poor recurrence-free survival, and overall survival. Further studies evaluating preemptive transplantation or adjuvant/neoadjuvant strategies are highly needed in this small patient subset.

Benefits of tailored hepatocellular carcinoma screening in patients with cirrhosis on cancer-specific and overall mortality: A modeling approach.

To validate cancer screening programs, experts recommend estimating effects on case fatality rates (CFRs) and cancer-specific mortality. This study evaluates hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) screening in patients with cirrhosis for those outcomes using a modeling approach. We designed a Markov model to assess 10-year HCC-CFR, HCC-related, and overall mortality per 100,000 screened patients with compensated cirrhosis. The model evaluates different HCC surveillance intervals (none, annual [12 months], semiannual [6 months], or quarterly [3 months]) and imaging modalities (ultrasound [US] or magnetic resonance imaging [MRI]) in various annual incidences (0.2%, 0.4%, or 1.5%). Compared to no surveillance, 6-month US reduced the 10-year HCC-CFR from 77% to 46%. With annual incidences of 0.2%, 0.4%, and 1.5%, the model predicted 281, 565, and 2059 fewer HCC-related deaths, respectively, and 187, 374, and 1356 fewer total deaths per 100,000 screened patients, respectively. Combining alpha-fetoprotein screening to 6-month US led to 32, 63, and 230 fewer HCC-related deaths per 100,000 screened patients for annual incidences of 0.2%, 0.4%, and 1.5%, respectively. Compared to 6-month US, 3-month US reduced cancer-related mortality by 14%, predicting 61, 123, and 446 fewer HCC-related deaths per 100,000 screened patients with annual incidences of 0.2%, 0.4%, and 1.5%, respectively. Compared to 6-month US, 6-month MRI (-17%) and 12-month MRI (-6%) reduced HCC-related mortality. Compared to 6-month US, overall mortality reductions ranged from -0.1% to -1.3% when using 3-month US or MRI. A US surveillance interval of 6 months improves HCC-related and overall mortality compared to no surveillance. A shorter US interval or using MRI could reduce HCC-CFR and HCC-related mortality, with a modest effect on overall mortality.